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Estimating Impact

A Handbook of Computational Methods and Models for Anticipating Economic, Social, Political and Security Effects in International Interventions

By Alexander Kott , Gary Citrenbaum

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  • ISBN13: 978-1-4419-6234-8
  • 384 Pages
  • User Level: Science
  • Publication Date: September 15, 2010
  • Available eBook Formats: PDF
Full Description
Virtually all human endeavors can be analyzed and modeled and understood through computer-aided study, and that is very much at the core of operations research, game theory, and decision science. Understanding the potential impact of any action is critical to the success of that action, and in ESTIMATING IMPACT Alexander Kott and Gary Citrenbaum, with a stellar group of contributors, demonstrate how military or humanitarian interventions (or the decision not to intervene) can be rigorously analyzed beforehand and their likely impacts and ramifications predicted at levels appropriate to their scope. A wide range of modeling programs are available that support plan assessment and impact forecast, and they allow accurate prediction within an interdependent set of political, military, economic, social, information, and infrastructure systems, and experts involved in the use and development of these tools demonstrate how, when, and why they should be used.
Table of Contents

Table of Contents

  1. Introduction: Judgment and Computation.
  2. Emerging Techniques and Tools.
  3. Politics and Power.
  4. Economics and Markets.
  5. Modeling Of Media Influence.
  6. Governance and Society.
  7. Groups and Violence.
  8. Insurgency and Security.
  9. Crime and Corruption.
  10. Visualization and Comprehension.
  11. Verification and Validation.
  12. Conclusions: Anticipation and Action.

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