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Business Case Analysis with R

Simulation Tutorials to Support Complex Business Decisions

Authors: Brown, Robert

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  • Teaches how to use the R programming language for business case analysis
  • Extends the analytic tool kit of financial analysts
  • Establishes both a quality standard and a clearly auditable structure for ensuring that avoidable modeling errors are minimized
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eBook $19.99
price for USA (gross)
  • ISBN 978-1-4842-3495-2
  • Digitally watermarked, DRM-free
  • Included format: PDF, EPUB
  • ebooks can be used on all reading devices
  • Immediate eBook download after purchase
Softcover $24.99
price for USA
  • ISBN 978-1-4842-3494-5
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Usually dispatched within 3 to 5 business days.
About this book

This tutorial teaches you how to use the statistical programming language R to develop a business case simulation and analysis. It presents a methodology for conducting business case analysis that minimizes decision delay by focusing stakeholders on what matters most and suggests pathways for minimizing the risk in strategic and capital allocation decisions. Business case analysis, often conducted in spreadsheets, exposes decision makers to additional risks that arise just from the use of the spreadsheet environment.

R has become one of the most widely used tools for reproducible quantitative analysis, and analysts fluent in this language are in high demand. The R language, traditionally used for statistical analysis, provides a more explicit, flexible, and extensible environment than spreadsheets for conducting business case analysis.

The main tutorial follows the case in which a chemical manufacturing company considers constructing a chemical reactor and production facility to bring a new compound to market. There are numerous uncertainties and risks involved, including the possibility that a competitor brings a similar product online. The company must determine the value of making the decision to move forward and where they might prioritize their attention to make a more informed and robust decision. While the example used is a chemical company, the analysis structure it presents can be applied to just about any business decision, from IT projects to new product development to commercial real estate. The supporting tutorials include the perspective of the founder of a professional service firm who wants to grow his business and a member of a strategic planning group in a biomedical device company who wants to know how much to budget in order to refine the quality of information about critical uncertainties that might affect the value of a chosen product development pathway.

What You’ll Learn

  • Set up a business case abstraction in an influence diagram to communicate the essence of the problem to other stakeholders
  • Model the inherent uncertainties in the problem with Monte Carlo simulation using the R language
  • Communicate the results graphically
  • Draw appropriate insights from the results
  • Develop creative decision strategies for thorough opportunity cost analysis
  • Calculate the value of information on critical uncertainties between competing decision strategies to set the budget for deeper data analysis
  • Construct appropriate information to satisfy the parameters for the Monte Carlo simulation when little or no empirical data are available

Who This Book Is For

Financial analysts, data practitioners, and risk/business professionals; also appropriate for graduate level finance, business, or data science students

About the authors

Robert D. Brown III is the President of Incite! Decision Technologies LLC, a consultancy supporting senior decision makers facing complex, high-risk opportunities. These opportunities usually include strategic planning, project selection, planning & risk management, and project portfolio analysis & management.

Mr. Brown has devoted his 20-year career to providing solutions to his clients' complex problems by employing creative thinking and advanced quantitative business, engineering, and systems analysis. His client experience spans diverse industrial and commercial fields, including petroleum & chemicals, energy, utilities, logistics & transportation, pharmaceuticals, electronics manufacturing, telecommunications, IT, commercial real estate, federal agencies, and education. Through Incite, Mr. Brown delivers analysis, decision support tools and systems, and training in decision making and risk management with the goal of helping his clients measure the value and the risk associated with the important decisions they face in order to make informed trade-offs and choices. Incite provides "Moneyball" for businesses.

Mr. Brown graduated from the Georgia Institute of Technology in 1992 with a bachelor degree in mechanical engineering (co-op program) with an emphasis in control systems.

Table of contents (15 chapters)

  • A Relief from Spreadsheet Misery

    Brown III, Robert D.

    Pages 3-8

  • Setting Up the Analysis

    Brown III, Robert D.

    Pages 9-46

  • Include Uncertainty in the Financial Analysis

    Brown III, Robert D.

    Pages 47-77

  • Interpreting and Communicating Insights

    Brown III, Robert D.

    Pages 79-102

  • “What Should I Do?”

    Brown III, Robert D.

    Pages 105-112

Buy this book

eBook $19.99
price for USA (gross)
  • ISBN 978-1-4842-3495-2
  • Digitally watermarked, DRM-free
  • Included format: PDF, EPUB
  • ebooks can be used on all reading devices
  • Immediate eBook download after purchase
Softcover $24.99
price for USA
  • ISBN 978-1-4842-3494-5
  • Free shipping for individuals worldwide
  • Usually dispatched within 3 to 5 business days.

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Bibliographic Information

Bibliographic Information
Book Title
Business Case Analysis with R
Book Subtitle
Simulation Tutorials to Support Complex Business Decisions
Authors
Copyright
2018
Publisher
Apress
Copyright Holder
Robert D. Brown III
eBook ISBN
978-1-4842-3495-2
DOI
10.1007/978-1-4842-3495-2
Softcover ISBN
978-1-4842-3494-5
Edition Number
1
Number of Pages
XVIII, 282
Number of Illustrations and Tables
70 b/w illustrations
Topics