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  • © 2019

Tropical Intraseasonal Variability and the Stochastic Skeleton Method

  • Contributes to understanding and predicting intraseasonal variability, especially in the tropics
  • Demonstrates how a blend of modern applied mathematical tools can be used in conjunction with physical insight to create a model that captures the fundamental features of the MJO
  • Presents the stochastic skeleton model that offers a theoretical prediction of the MJO’s structure, leading to new detailed methods to identify it in observational data
  • Authors are leading experts in applied mathematics and atmosphere, climate, and ocean science

Part of the book series: Mathematics of Planet Earth (MPE)

Part of the book sub series: SpringerBriefs in Mathematics of Planet Earth (SBMPE-WCO)

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Table of contents (7 chapters)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages i-ix
  2. Introduction

    • Andrew J. Majda, Samuel N. Stechmann, Shengqian Chen, H. Reed Ogrosky, Sulian Thual
    Pages 1-4
  3. The Deterministic Skeleton Model and Observed Features of the MJO

    • Andrew J. Majda, Samuel N. Stechmann, Shengqian Chen, H. Reed Ogrosky, Sulian Thual
    Pages 5-27
  4. A Stochastic Skeleton Model for the MJO

    • Andrew J. Majda, Samuel N. Stechmann, Shengqian Chen, H. Reed Ogrosky, Sulian Thual
    Pages 29-48
  5. Tropical–Extratropical Interactions and the MJO Skeleton Model

    • Andrew J. Majda, Samuel N. Stechmann, Shengqian Chen, H. Reed Ogrosky, Sulian Thual
    Pages 49-66
  6. New Indices for Observations of Tropical Variability Based on the Skeleton Model and a Model for the Walker Circulation

    • Andrew J. Majda, Samuel N. Stechmann, Shengqian Chen, H. Reed Ogrosky, Sulian Thual
    Pages 67-92
  7. Refined Vertical Structure in the Stochastic Skeleton Model for the MJO

    • Andrew J. Majda, Samuel N. Stechmann, Shengqian Chen, H. Reed Ogrosky, Sulian Thual
    Pages 93-112
  8. Current and Future Research Perspectives

    • Andrew J. Majda, Samuel N. Stechmann, Shengqian Chen, H. Reed Ogrosky, Sulian Thual
    Pages 113-120
  9. Back Matter

    Pages 121-123

About this book

In this text, modern applied mathematics and physical insight are used to construct the simplest and first nonlinear dynamical model for the Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO), i.e. the stochastic skeleton model. This model captures the fundamental features of the MJO and offers a theoretical prediction of its structure, leading to new detailed methods to identify it in observational data. The text contributes to understanding and predicting intraseasonal variability, which remains a challenging task in contemporary climate, atmospheric, and oceanic science. In the tropics, the Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) is the dominant component of intraseasonal variability.

One of the strengths of this text is demonstrating how a blend of modern applied mathematical tools, including linear and nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs), simple stochastic modeling, and numerical algorithms, have been used in conjunction with physical insight to create the model. These tools are alsoapplied in developing several extensions of the model in order to capture additional features of the MJO, including its refined vertical structure and its interactions with the extratropics.

This book is of interest to graduate students, postdocs, and senior researchers in pure and applied mathematics, physics, engineering, and climate, atmospheric, and oceanic science interested in turbulent dynamical systems as well as other complex systems.

Authors and Affiliations

  • Center for Prototype Climate Modeling NYU Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, Department of Mathematics, and Center for Atmosphere Ocean Science, Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences, New York University, New York, USA

    Andrew J. Majda

  • Department of Mathematics, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, USA

    Samuel N. Stechmann

  • Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China

    Shengqian Chen

  • Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, VA, China

    H. Reed Ogrosky

  • Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai, China

    Sulian Thual

Bibliographic Information

Buy it now

Buying options

eBook USD 19.99 USD 39.99
50% discount Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book USD 29.99 USD 54.99
45% discount Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Other ways to access