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  • Book
  • © 2014

Complexity in Financial Markets

Modeling Psychological Behavior in Agent-Based Models and Order Book Models

  • Nominated as an outstanding PhD thesis by the University of Rome La Sapienza
  • Explains the self-organization of financial markets
  • Provides new metrics for economic complexity: measuring countries' competitiveness and product complexity
  • Applies big data and new generation tools for forecasting economic growth
  • Includes supplementary material: sn.pub/extras

Part of the book series: Springer Theses (Springer Theses)

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Table of contents (13 chapters)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages i-xix
  2. Introduction

    • Matthieu Cristelli
    Pages 1-17
  3. Stylized Facts

    • Matthieu Cristelli
    Pages 19-25
  4. Agent-Based Modeling

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 27-27
    2. Critical Review of Agent-Based Models

      • Matthieu Cristelli
      Pages 29-54
  5. Financial Market Dynamics: Order Book and Data Analysis

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 87-87
    2. Zero Intelligence Model for the Order Book Dynamics

      • Matthieu Cristelli
      Pages 99-111
    3. Evidences of Strategic Placements of Orders

      • Matthieu Cristelli
      Pages 113-126
    4. Quantitative Analysis of Technical Trading

      • Matthieu Cristelli
      Pages 127-139
    5. Web Queries Can Predict Stock Market Volumes

      • Matthieu Cristelli
      Pages 151-161
  6. A Metrics for the Economic Complexity

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 163-163
    2. Theory of Economic Growth

      • Matthieu Cristelli
      Pages 165-170
    3. Beyond Classical Theory of Economic Growth

      • Matthieu Cristelli
      Pages 171-188
  7. Back Matter

    Pages 205-216

About this book

Tools and methods from complex systems science can have a considerable impact on the way in which the quantitative assessment of economic and financial issues is approached, as discussed in this thesis. First it is shown that the self-organization of financial markets is a crucial factor in the understanding of their dynamics. In fact, using an agent-based approach, it is argued that financial markets’ stylized facts appear only in the self-organized state. Secondly, the thesis points out the potential of so-called big data science for financial market modeling, investigating how web-driven data can yield a picture of market activities: it has been found that web query volumes anticipate trade volumes. As a third achievement, the metrics developed here for country competitiveness and product complexity is groundbreaking in comparison to mainstream theories of economic growth and technological development. A key element in assessing the intangible variables determining the success of countries in the present globalized economy is represented by the diversification of the productive basket of countries. The comparison between the level of complexity of a country's productive system and economic indicators such as the GDP per capita discloses its hidden growth potential.

Authors and Affiliations

  • Department of Physics, "Sapienza", Università di Roma ISC-CNR, Istituto dei Sistemi Complessi, Rome, Italy

    Matthieu Cristelli

Bibliographic Information

Buy it now

Buying options

eBook USD 84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Other ways to access